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Qatar Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani in diplomatic meeting, Qatar flag behind, Doha

Qatar Took the Iran File. It Has What Pakistan Never Did.

May 10, 2026May 11, 2026

DOHA — Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani met Vice President Vance in Washington on May 8, flew to

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Qatar Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani in diplomatic meeting, Qatar flag behind, Doha

Qatar Took the Iran File. It Has What Pakistan Never Did.

May 10, 2026

DOHA — Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani met Vice President Vance in Washington on May 8, flew to

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Al Udeid Air Base aerial view showing runway aprons and hangar complex, Qatar

Iran’s Compellence Doctrine: Why the Drones Hit Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE on the Same Day Tehran Submitted Its Peace Response

May 10, 2026May 11, 2026

TEHRAN — On the same Sunday morning Pakistan’s foreign ministry handed Washington Iran’s formal response to the war-ending memorandum, drones were already

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Al Udeid Air Base aerial view showing runway aprons and hangar complex, Qatar

Iran’s Compellence Doctrine: Why the Drones Hit Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE on the Same Day Tehran Submitted Its Peace Response

May 10, 2026

TEHRAN — On the same Sunday morning Pakistan’s foreign ministry handed Washington Iran’s formal response to the war-ending memorandum, drones were already

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ISS photograph of the northwestern coast of Saudi Arabia on the Red Sea, the western terminus of the East-West Pipeline — photo NASA/JSC, public domain

Aramco Posts Record Quarterly Profit Rise as East-West Pipeline Hits 7M bpd

May 10, 2026May 10, 2026
Energy & Oil

DHAHRAN — Saudi Aramco reported net profit of $32.5 billion for the first quarter of 2026 on Saturday, beating analyst expectations by

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NASA MODIS satellite image of the Strait of Hormuz, December 2020, showing the narrow passage between Iran and the Musandam Peninsula where Iran declared a new legal and security system over maritime transit

Iran Submits Peace Response and Issues Hormuz Threats on the Same Day — Three Military Commands Signal the MOU May Be Dead on Arrival

May 10, 2026May 11, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

TEHRAN — Iran formally submitted its response to the US peace proposal via Pakistani mediators on May 10, 2026, while three separate

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Persian Gulf satellite image NASA MODIS October 2021 showing the full Persian Gulf basin and Strait of Hormuz

The IRGC’s ‘Missiles Locked’ Declaration Is Aimed at Tehran, Not Washington

May 10, 2026May 11, 2026
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TEHRAN — Brigadier General Seyyed Majid Mousavi, commander of the IRGC Aerospace Force, declared on Saturday evening that “the missiles and aerospace

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Strait of Hormuz satellite view, NASA MODIS December 2020 — the chokepoint Iran has framed as a deterrent equivalent to a nuclear program, with Hormuz transit volume at 191 vessels in April against a pre-war baseline of 3,000 monthly

Iran Has Declared Hormuz Its Nuclear Deterrent

May 10, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

TEHRAN — When Mohammad Mokhber, identified across Mehr News Agency’s May 8 broadcast as an adviser to Supreme Leader Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei,

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Riyadh skyline showing King Abdullah Financial District and Kingdom Tower at sunset, Saudi Arabia

Saudi Q1 GDP Grew 2.8% as Military Spending Rose 26%

May 10, 2026May 10, 2026
Vision 2030 & Economy

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia’s economy grew 2.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, according to flash estimates published by the General

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Secretary Rubio meets with Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan and Russian delegation in Riyadh, U.S. and Saudi flags visible on conference table

Moscow Called Riyadh While Shipping Drones to Tehran

May 10, 2026May 11, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

MOSCOW — On May 8, Sergey Lavrov called Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan and proposed restoring Hormuz navigation to its pre-late-February

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NASA MODIS satellite view of the Arabian Peninsula showing the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, and Red Sea — the strategic geography of the STEP quadrilateral security framework

GCC Was a Club With No Sellers. STEP Fixed That.

May 10, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

RIYADH — The GCC spent 45 years as a security club where every member needed protection and none could provide it —

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NASA MODIS satellite view of northern Iran desert corridor near Semnan Province, where the alleged Rainbow Site tritium facility at Ivanaki is located

The Rainbow Site: Intelligence Revelation or Diplomatic Grenade Timed to Kill the Iran MOU

May 9, 2026May 9, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

WASHINGTON — On the same morning Marco Rubio’s deadline for Iran’s response to the 14-point MOU expired, the National Council of Resistance

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IRGC Navy speedboat approaches US vessels in the Persian Gulf — the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy enforces selective maritime control through patrol operations and vessel interception

Iran Threatens to Close Hormuz Forever for Bahrain — Four Days Before Trump Lands in Riyadh

May 9, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

MANAMA — Iran did not threaten to close the Strait of Hormuz on Friday. It threatened something more useful: to keep the

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Kharg Island Iran aerial NASA ISS view showing Sea Island terminal loading piers Persian Gulf

Kharg Oil Slick Hits 71 Square Kilometres as Iran Blames European Tanker, Pentagon Stays Silent

May 9, 2026May 9, 2026
Energy & Oil

DUBAI — A 71-square-kilometre oil slick first detected by Copernicus Sentinel satellites on May 6 west of Iran’s Kharg Island terminal continued

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NASA MODIS satellite image of the southern Caspian Sea showing Iran coastline and Bandar Anzali port, the terminus of Russia's drone resupply corridor

Russia Is Restocking Iran’s Drone Arsenal via the Caspian Sea

May 9, 2026May 10, 2026
Defence & Security

Table of Contents The Caspian Corridor: Factory to Port in 2,400 Kilometres What Is Russia Sending Through the Caspian? Why Can’t the

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Strait of Hormuz satellite image showing the 21-mile chokepoint between Iran and Oman — 13 miles of navigable channel through which 20 percent of global oil supply transits daily. NASA MODIS December 2020.

Iran’s Two Voices on MOU Deadline Day — Authorization Ceiling Made Visible

May 9, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

{“content”: “ TEHRAN u2014 On the morning of May 9, 2026, Iran spoke with two voices that pointed in opposite directions, and

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Saudi FM Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud (left) and Polish Deputy PM Radoslaw Sikorski sign a bilateral visa waiver at the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Warsaw — the same FM who placed the May 9, 2026 calls to Lavrov and Abdelatty before Trump's Riyadh summit

Trump Is Flying to Riyadh. Riyadh Already Wrote the Script.

May 9, 2026May 11, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

{“content”: “ RIYADH u2014 Four days before Donald Trump lands in the Saudi capital with a $142 billion arms deal in his

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Satellite view of the Red Sea from the International Space Station, with Saudi Arabia visible to the right and Egypt and Sudan on the left. The Red Sea carries roughly 10% of global trade and is now Saudi Arabia's primary crude export corridor. NASA, public domain.

War Made the Red Sea Saudi Arabia’s Front Door

May 9, 2026May 9, 2026
Vision 2030 & Economy

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia’s war with Iran has accomplished what a decade of Vision 2030 presentations could not: it has made the

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NASA MODIS satellite image of the Strait of Hormuz and Musandam Peninsula showing the narrow passage between Iran (north) and the UAE and Oman (south), December 2018

IRGC Designed Its Maritime Rules to Outlast the MOU

May 9, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

{“content”: “ nnnn n TEHRAN u2014 Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps published new maritime control rules for the Strait of Hormuz and

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Strait of Hormuz and Sea of Oman NASA MODIS satellite view showing the maritime chokepoint where Iranian and US naval forces conducted simultaneous coercion acts on May 8, 2026

Three Ships Answered the MOU on Deadline Day

May 9, 2026May 9, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

DUBAI — On May 8, 2026 — the day Iran’s formal response to the 14-point ceasefire memorandum of understanding was due to

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Satellite image of Khurais Oil Processing Facility Saudi Arabia with black smoke from IRGC strike damage visible — Planet Labs

Aramco’s $29 Billion War Quarter Won’t Repeat

May 9, 2026May 10, 2026
Energy & Oil

DHAHRAN — Aramco is about to report its strongest quarter in a year — a $29 billion profit that looks like vindication

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Trump and MBS at the US-Saudi Investment Forum, King Abdul Aziz International Conference Center, Riyadh, May 13 2025

Seventy-Two Hours in Riyadh — Indispensable, Powerless, and Not in the Room

May 8, 2026May 11, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia will spend seventy-two hours hosting the most consequential diplomatic sequence of the Iran war — and will not

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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian seated between two Iranian flags with Supreme Leader portraits on the wall, representing the institutional framework constraining civilian authority under Article 110

Pezeshkian Went to Mojtaba Khamenei to Stop the IRGC. He Came Out Carrying Their Demands.

May 8, 2026May 10, 2026
Diplomacy & Geopolitics

{“content”: “ TEHRAN u2014 Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian called IRGC strikes on the UAE “madness” on May 4, requested an urgent meeting

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NASA MODIS satellite view of the Strait of Hormuz and Musandam Peninsula, showing the strait narrows where Iranian naval infrastructure and PGSA monitoring nodes control vessel passage

Brent Crude Swings $12 as Trump Calls CENTCOM Strikes a ‘Love Tap’

May 8, 2026May 9, 2026
Energy & Oil

Brent Crude Swings $12 as Trump Calls CENTCOM Strikes a ‘Love Tap’ DHAHRAN — Brent crude whipped through a $12 intraday range

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A PAC-3 Patriot missile system fires an interceptor at a live-fire range, with smoke billowing from the launcher. The UAE deploys Patriot PAC-3 batteries as part of its layered air defence against Iranian ballistic missiles and drones.

Iran Strikes UAE on MOU Deadline Day as Pezeshkian Calls Attacks ‘Madness’

May 8, 2026May 9, 2026
Defence & Security

ABU DHABI — Iran fired two ballistic missiles and three drones at the United Arab Emirates on May 8, the same day

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